Salut,
Sunt nou in domeniul pariurilor. Testez un sistem de pariuri single, pe fotbal, campionatele mari europene, prima si a doua liga.
Sistemul care il propun discutiei este bazat pe rating ELO al echipelor, combinat cu o formula de generat cote in functie de acest rating. Cotele generate de sisteme vor fi comparate cu cele de la bet 365 (doar ca referinta- stiu ca nu sunt cele mai bune cote la ei).
Vor fi luat in considerare doar meciurile intre echipele de club din acelasi campionat (pentru moment voi exclude din sistem cupele europene UEFA si CL, si cupele interne),la fel si meciurile care se desfasoara pe teren neutru(voi juca 1 , x sau 2).
Deocamdata, testez sistemul de aproape 10 zile, a generat un 175 de meciuri care pot fi pariate (o medie intre 10-20 de meciuri pe zi- bineinteles sambata si duminica, numarul se mareste, aproape de 50).
Dupa 10 zile stam asa:
hitrate: 83 W / 175 TOTAL = 47.47 %
cota medie(bet 365): 2.60
ROI: 23 %
Stiu ca yeld-ul este cam mare, esantionul este inca mic. Ma astept ca yeld-ul sa fie undeva la 8-10%.
Maine dimineata voi posta primele predictii(valabile pentru vineri, 24 Oct- vor fi in jur de 20 de meciuri.). Astept sugestiile voastre(sunt sigur ca vor aparea greseli), si va rog sa fiti intelegatori, sunt nou in acest domeniu. Sunt sanse foarte mari ca acest sistem sa nu functioneze, dar incerc, sa vedem.
Va multumesc
Buna dimineata.
Selectiile pentru astazi sunt:
SOCHAUX LAVAL 1 2.2
STADE BRESTOIS 29 GFC AJACCIO 1 1.95
OTELUL GALATI GAZ METAN MEDIAS 1 3.5
FC BRASOV CS UNIVERS. CRAIOVA 1 2.2
WERDER BREMEN FC KOLN 1 2.62
CESKE BUDEJOVICE SLAVIA PRAHA 1 2.8
BOTEV PLOVDIV BEROE 1 2.4
ANGERS CLERMONT FOOT 1 2
BOHEMIANS 1905 SLOVAN LIBEREC 1 2.87
VYSOCINA JIHLAVA BRNO 1 2
VFR AALEN UNION BERLIN 2 3.3
VALERENGA ODD BALLKLUBB 2 2.2
NIMES AUXERRE 2 3.4
KASIMPASA KONYASPOR 2 4.75
LITEX LOKOMOTIV SOFIA 2 6.5
MODENA BOLOGNA 2 2.8
AJACCIO VALENCIENNES 2 3.75
TOULOUSE LENS 2 7
LIERSE KV MECHELEN x 3.25
KARDEMIR KARABUKSPOR AKHISAR BELEDIYE x 3.25
TERNANA TRAPANI x 3.1
CHATEAUROUX TOURS x 2.87
ARLES NIORT x 2.87
SLAVIA SOFIA LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV x 3.6
ORLEANS CRETEIL x 3.1
Ordinea coloanelor "tabelului" de mai sus este urmatoarea: HOME(team name) AWAY(team name) PICK(1,x or 2) ODD
Sunt 25 de meciuri. Maine dimineata voi veni cu raportul, si cu alte jocuri ce se vor desfasura.
Va multumesc.
Selectiile pentru astazi: 74 de jocuri:
1899 HOFFENHEIM SC PADERBORN 07 1 1.61
BOLTON BRENTFORD 1 2.5
HERTHA BERLIN HAMBURGER SV 1 2.1
EVIAN TG FC NANTES 1 2.45
CEAHLAUL PIATRA NEAMT CSMS IASI 1 2
AJAX GO AHEAD EAGLES 1 1.22
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT VFB STUTTGART 1 2.3
IPSWICH HUDDERSFIELD 1 2.1
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN BORDEAUX 1 1.44
ZULTE-WAREGEM CERCLE BRUGGE 1 1.55
WOLFSBERGER AC SCR ALTACH 1 1.9
LIVERPOOL HULL CITY 1 1.4
FC BASEL 1893 FC SION 1 1.4
PARMA SASSUOLO 1 1.9
DERBY WIGAN 1 1.8
REAL MADRID BARCELONA 1 2.37
READING BLACKPOOL 1 1.7
BALIKESIRSPOR BURSASPOR 1 3.5
LIVORNO SPEZIA 1 2
HAUGESUND STROMSGODSET 1 2.8
BRIGHTON ROTHERHAM 2 4.75
ALMERIA ATHLETIC CLUB 2 2.1
POGON SZCZECIN CRACOVIA KRAKOW 2 3.75
DUNDEE HAMILTON ACADEMICAL 2 2.37
BIRMINGHAM BOURNEMOUTH 2 2.05
ATROMITOS ATHINON ERGOTELIS 2 7
FC THUN FC AARAU 2 5
LEVSKI SOFIA CSKA SOFIA 2 2.37
BETIS RECREATIVO HUELVA 2 4.75
NOTTM FOREST BLACKBURN 2 3.4
WAASLAND-BEVEREN GENK 2 2.1
INVERNESS CT DUNDEE UTD 2 3
STURM GRAZ RAPID VIENNA 2 2.37
SIVASSPOR RIZESPOR 2 4.33
SHEFFIELD WED NORWICH 2 2.37
SUNDERLAND ARSENAL 2 1.75
SWANSEA LEICESTER 2 4.5
WEST HAM MANCHESTER CITY 2 1.61
MIDDLESBROUGH WATFORD 2 4
AROUCA FC PORTO 2 1.33
CATANIA VICENZA 2 7
SLOVACKO PLZEN 2 1.57
PARTICK ST JOHNSTONE x 3.2
ADMIRA WACKER RIED x 3.5
FC AUGSBURG SC FREIBURG x 3.5
PRO VERCELLI PERUGIA x 3
CROTONE CITTADELLA x 3.1
VIRTUS ENTELLA FROSINONE x 3
CHARLEROI OOSTENDE x 3.4
ST MIRREN ROSS COUNTY x 3.6
PONFERRADINA LAS PALMAS x 3.2
REIMS MONTPELLIER x 3.1
EIBAR GRANADA CF x 3.1
MOREIRENSE GIL VICENTE x 3.25
FK PRIBRAM BANIK OSTRAVA x 3.2
RACING SANTANDER ALAVES x 3.2
UNIVERSITATEA CLUJ VIITORUL CONSTANTA x 3.25
BASTIA MONACO x 3.25
LECHIA GDANSK SLASK WROCLAW x 3.25
VARESE BARI x 3.1
LATINA BRESCIA x 3
PIAST GLIWICE JAGIELLONIA x 3.3
CORDOBA REAL SOCIEDAD x 3.25
FC TORPEDO MOSCOW KUBAN x 3.3
PAS GIANNINA KALLONI AEL x 3.1
FC ST. PAULI KARLSRUHER SC x 3.25
WEST BROM CRYSTAL PALACE x 3.6
LEEDS WOLVES x 3.4
ESTAC TROYES DIJON x 3.1
PESCARA CARPI x 3.1
FENERBAHCE GENCLERBIRLIGI x 5
CAEN LORIENT x 3.3
HRADEC KRALOVE DUKLA PRAHA x 3.1
FC BOTOSANI RAPID BUCURESTI x 3.75
Pariază responsabil!
Sfatul meu este să verifici lista caselor de pariuri online legale în România și recomandate de noi pentru o cât mai buna experiență de pariere online.
rezultatele pentru cele 26 jocuri de ieri. 24 Octombrie:
SOCHAUX LAVAL 1 2.2 nok
FC BRASOV CS UNIVERS. CRAIOVA 1 2.2 nok
OTELUL GALATI GAZ METAN MEDIAS 1 3.5 nok
CESKE BUDEJOVICE SLAVIA PRAHA 1 2.8 nok
WERDER BREMEN FC KOLN 1 2.62 nok
BOHEMIANS 1905 SLOVAN LIBEREC 1 2.87 nok
STADE BRESTOIS 29 GFC AJACCIO 1 1.95 ok
ANGERS CLERMONT FOOT 1 2 ok
BOTEV PLOVDIV BEROE 1 2.4 ok
VYSOCINA JIHLAVA BRNO 1 2 ok
LITEX LOKOMOTIV SOFIA 2 6.5 nok
AJACCIO VALENCIENNES 2 3.75 nok
KASIMPASA KONYASPOR 2 4.75 nok
MODENA BOLOGNA 2 2.8 nok
NIMES AUXERRE 2 3.4 ok
TOULOUSE LENS 2 7 ok
VFR AALEN UNION BERLIN 2 3.3 ok
VALERENGA ODD BALLKLUBB 2 2.2 ok
TERNANA TRAPANI x 3.1 nok
CHATEAUROUX TOURS x 2.87 nok
ARLES NIORT x 2.87 nok
KARDEMIR KARABUKSPOR AKHISAR BELEDIYE x 3.25 nok
SLAVIA SOFIA LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV x 3.6 nok
LIERSE KV MECHELEN x 3.25 nok
VITORIA SETUBAL GUIMARAES x 3.3 nok
ORLEANS CRETEIL x 3.1 ok
Hitrate: 9 win/ 26 total: 34.61
cota medie: 3.0388
ROI: 5.18%
Maine dimineata revin cu rezultatele pentru meciurile propuse astazi.
rezultatele celor 74 jocuri de ieri, 25 Octombrie:
IPSWICH HUDDERSFIELD 1 2.1 nok
DERBY WIGAN 1 1.8 nok
LIVERPOOL HULL CITY 1 1.4 nok
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT VFB STUTTGART 1 2.3 nok
PARMA SASSUOLO 1 1.9 nok
CEAHLAUL PIATRA NEAMT CSMS IASI 1 2 nok
BALIKESIRSPOR BURSASPOR 1 3.5 nok
LIVORNO SPEZIA 1 2 nok
WOLFSBERGER AC SCR ALTACH 1 1.9 nok
EVIAN TG FC NANTES 1 2.45 nok
FC BASEL 1893 FC SION 1 1.4 nok
ZULTE-WAREGEM CERCLE BRUGGE 1 1.55 nok
1899 HOFFENHEIM SC PADERBORN 07 1 1.61 ok
READING BLACKPOOL 1 1.7 ok
BOLTON BRENTFORD 1 2.5 ok
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN BORDEAUX 1 1.44 ok
HERTHA BERLIN HAMBURGER SV 1 2.1 ok
HAUGESUND STROMSGODSET 1 2.8 ok
REAL MADRID BARCELONA 1 2.37 ok
AJAX GO AHEAD EAGLES 1 1.22 ok
WEST HAM MANCHESTER CITY 2 1.61 nok
BRIGHTON ROTHERHAM 2 4.75 nok
MIDDLESBROUGH WATFORD 2 4 nok
SHEFFIELD WED NORWICH 2 2.37 nok
CATANIA VICENZA 2 7 nok
POGON SZCZECIN CRACOVIA KRAKOW 2 3.75 nok
DUNDEE HAMILTON ACADEMICAL 2 2.37 nok
INVERNESS CT DUNDEE UTD 2 3 nok
FC THUN FC AARAU 2 5 nok
BETIS RECREATIVO HUELVA 2 4.75 nok
SWANSEA LEICESTER 2 4.5 nok
ATROMITOS ATHINON ERGOTELIS 2 7 nok
STURM GRAZ RAPID VIENNA 2 2.37 ok
WAASLAND-BEVEREN GENK 2 2.1 ok
LEVSKI SOFIA CSKA SOFIA 2 2.37 ok
BIRMINGHAM BOURNEMOUTH 2 2.05 ok
NOTTM FOREST BLACKBURN 2 3.4 ok
SUNDERLAND ARSENAL 2 1.75 ok
ALMERIA ATHLETIC CLUB 2 2.1 ok
SIVASSPOR RIZESPOR 2 4.33 ok
SLOVACKO PLZEN 2 1.57 ok
AROUCA FC PORTO 2 1.33 ok
FK PRIBRAM BANIK OSTRAVA x 3.2 nok
HRADEC KRALOVE DUKLA PRAHA x 3.1 nok
LEEDS WOLVES x 3.4 nok
ESTAC TROYES DIJON x 3.1 nok
FC AUGSBURG SC FREIBURG x 3.5 nok
FC ST. PAULI KARLSRUHER SC x 3.25 nok
VIRTUS ENTELLA FROSINONE x 3 nok
VARESE BARI x 3.1 nok
MOREIRENSE GIL VICENTE x 3.25 nok
FENERBAHCE GENCLERBIRLIGI x 5 nok
LECHIA GDANSK SLASK WROCLAW x 3.25 nok
PIAST GLIWICE JAGIELLONIA x 3.3 nok
PESCARA CARPI x 3.1 nok
CAEN LORIENT x 3.3 nok
REIMS MONTPELLIER x 3.1 nok
BASTIA MONACO x 3.25 nok
CHARLEROI OOSTENDE x 3.4 nok
FC BOTOSANI RAPID BUCURESTI x 3.75 nok
WEST BROM CRYSTAL PALACE x 3.6 ok
PAS GIANNINA KALLONI AEL x 3.1 ok
PRO VERCELLI PERUGIA x 3 ok
CROTONE CITTADELLA x 3.1 ok
LATINA BRESCIA x 3 ok
UNIVERSITATEA CLUJ VIITORUL CONSTANTA x 3.25 ok
FC TORPEDO MOSCOW KUBAN x 3.3 ok
PARTICK ST JOHNSTONE x 3.2 ok
ST MIRREN ROSS COUNTY x 3.6 ok
RACING SANTANDER ALAVES x 3.2 ok
ADMIRA WACKER RIED x 3.5 ok
PONFERRADINA LAS PALMAS x 3.2 ok
EIBAR GRANADA CF x 3.1 ok
CORDOBA REAL SOCIEDAD x 3.25 ok
hitrate:
32 win /74 total: 43.24%
Cota medie:2.64
ROI: 14.2%
Total, 24 si 25 octombrie:
Hitrate: 41W / 100 TOTAL: 41%
Cota medie:2.728
ROI: 11.84 %
Mai tarziu voi reveni cu jocurile pentru astazi, 26 Octombrie..
52 jocuri alease pentru astazi, 26 Octombrie:
CLUB BRUGGE GENT 1 1.83
HALMSTAD FALKENBERGS FF 1 2.37
TOTTENHAM NEWCASTLE 1 1.7
ROSENBORG SANDNES ULF 1 1.28
SPARTA PRAHA MLADA BOLESLAV 1 1.44
ZENIT MORDOVIA SARANSK 1 1.18
ESTORIL BELENENSES 1 1.75
SEVILLA VILLARREAL 1 2.15
FC ZURICH FC ST. GALLEN 1 1.9
OLYMPIAKOS PIRAEUS PANATHINAIKOS 1 1.44
LYON MARSEILLE 1 2.45
UTRECHT PSV 2 1.7
ST ETIENNE METZ 2 6.5
CELTIC KILMARNOCK 2 13
LILLESTROM START 2 4.2
JUVENTUS PALERMO 2 17
UDINESE ATALANTA 2 4
DINAMO BUCURESTI PANDURII TG JIU 2 4.33
MOUSCRON-PERUWELZ LOKEREN 2 2.1
ESPANYOL DEP. LA CORUNA 2 4.5
PAOK VERIA 2 8
GIRONA MIRANDES 2 6
TSV 1860 MUNICH EINT. BRAUNSCHWEIG 2 2.6
LECH POZNAN GORNIK LECZNA 2 7.5
EXCELSIOR TWENTE 2 1.57
BOR. MONCHENGLADBACH BAYERN MUNICH 2 1.4
TRABZONSPOR GAZIANTEPSPOR 2 7
FC INGOLSTADT 04 FC HEIDENHEIM 2 6
BURNLEY EVERTON 2 1.85
MANCHESTER UTD CHELSEA x 3.4
AC MILAN FIORENTINA x 3.4
SARPSBORG 08 FF STABAEK x 3.5
SPORTING CP MARITIMO x 4.33
SPARTAK MOSCOW LOKOMOTIV MOSCOW x 3.3
CHIEVO GENOA x 3.2
GUINGAMP NICE x 3
NUMANCIA LEGANES x 3.25
NACIONAL ACADEMICA x 3.4
MALAGA RAYO VALLECANO x 3.6
OFI ASTERAS TRIPOLIS x 3.2
SV SANDHAUSEN ERZGEBIRGE AUE x 3.2
SPORTING GIJON OSASUNA x 3.4
ASA TARGU MURES STEAUA BUCURESTI x 3.75
GETAFE ATL. MADRID x 3.75
A.O.K. KERKYRA PLATANIAS x 3.2
ISTANBUL BASAKSEHIR GALATASARAY x 3.4
ESBJERG BRONDBY x 3.3
RENNES LILLE x 3
LUGO LLAGOSTERA x 3.5
ALBACETE VALLADOLID x 3.25
SC BRAGA BENFICA x 3.6
ZAWISZA BYDGOSZCZ LEGIA WARSZAWA x 4
Maine revin cu rezultatele
Pentru cele 52 de jocuri de ieri, nu a mers bine:
Hitrate: 17W/52 total: 32.69%
Cota medie: 2.52
ROI: -17.7 %
Pentru cele 3 zile: 24-25-26 Oct:
Hitrate: 58 W/152 total: 38/1%
Cota medie:2.74
Roi: 4.5 %
Voi face cateva schimbari in sistem, voi elimina cateva camionate(care par a fi neprofiabile), si nu voi mai lua in considerare cotele peste 8. Asta va duce la scaderea numarului de selectii, si sper, ca la imbunatatirea yeld-ului.
Voi reveni cu meciurile pentru astazi.
Jocurile pentru astazi:
RIO AVE PENAFIEL 2 5.25
NANCY LE HAVRE 2 4.33
FC ASTRA GIURGIU PETROLUL PLOIESTI x 3.25
FC NORDSJAELLAND AALBORG x 3.4
DINAMO MOSCOW RUBIN 2 5.5
ERCIYESSPOR BESIKTAS 2 1.85
SKODA XANTHI NIKI VOLOU x 3.75
Rezultatele de ieri, 27 Oct:
RIO AVE PENAFIEL 2 5.25 nok
NANCY LE HAVRE 2 4.33 nok
FC ASTRA GIURGIU PETROLUL PLOIESTI x 3.25 ok
FC NORDSJAELLAND AALBORG x 3.4 nok
DINAMO MOSCOW RUBIN 2 5.5 ok
ERCIYESSPOR BESIKTAS 2 1.85 nok
SKODA XANTHI NIKI VOLOU x 3.75 nok
Hitrate: 2 WIN/ 7 total : 28.5%
Cota medie: 4.37
ROI: 25%
Raport: 24-25-26-27 Oct:
HITRATE: 60 WIN/ 159 Total = 37.73%
ROI 5.64%
Jocurile pentru astazi, 28 Octombrie:
SPEZIA LATINA 2 3.8
BRESCIA CROTONE 2 4
VICENZA MODENA x 3
CITTADELLA LIVORNO x 3.1
PERUGIA AVELLINO x 3.2
HAPOEL BEER SHEVA MACCABI HAIFA 1 2.1
FROSINONE VARESE x 3.4
HAPOEL HAIFA MACCABI PETAH TIKVA x 3.3
BNEI SAKHNIN HAP.IR.KIRYAT SHMONA x 3.3
Maine revin cu rezultatele.
Rezultatele de ieri, 28 Oct:
SPEZIA LATINA 2 3.8 nok
BRESCIA CROTONE 2 4 nok
VICENZA MODENA x 3 nok
CITTADELLA LIVORNO x 3.1 ok
PERUGIA AVELLINO x 3.2 ok
HAPOEL BEER SHEVA MACCABI HAIFA 1 2.1 ok
FROSINONE VARESE x 3.4 ok
HAPOEL HAIFA MACCABI PETAH TIKVA x 3.3 nok
BNEI SAKHNIN HAP.IR.KIRYAT SHMONA x 3.3 nok
Hitrate:4 win/ 9 total = 44%
Cota medie: 2.95
ROI: 31.1 %
Raport: 24->28 Oct:
HITRATE: 64 WIN/ 168 Total = 37.73%
ROI 7%
Jocurile pentru astazi, 29 Octombrie:
CAGLIARI AC MILAN 2 2.1
ATALANTA NAPOLI 2 1.9
INTER SAMPDORIA 2 4.33
KORTRIJK ANDERLECHT 2 1.8
TORINO PARMA x 3.5
SLOVACKO BANIK OSTRAVA x 3.4
PALERMO CHIEVO x 3.3
GENOA JUVENTUS x 4
CERCLE BRUGGE STANDARD LIEGE x 3.6
Rezultatele de ieri, 29 Oct:
CAGLIARI AC MILAN 2 2.1 nok
ATALANTA NAPOLI 2 1.9 nok
INTER SAMPDORIA 2 4.33 nok
KORTRIJK ANDERLECHT 2 1.8 ok
TORINO PARMA x 3.5 nok
SLOVACKO BANIK OSTRAVA x 3.4 ok
PALERMO CHIEVO x 3.3 nok
GENOA JUVENTUS x 4 nok
CERCLE BRUGGE STANDARD LIEGE x 3.6 nok
Hitrate:2WIN/9 TOTAL
ROI:-27%
Raport 24->29 Oct:
hitrare: 66 WIN/167 TOTAL
ROI: 4.5 %
Meciurile pentru astazi:
MOUSCRON-PERUWELZ CLUB BRUGGE x 3.75
BEITAR JERUSALEM MACCABI NETANYA 2 4.2
HAPOEL PETAH TIKVA HAPOEL TEL AVIV 2 2
VERONA LAZIO x 3.5
Rezultatele de ieri, 30 Oct:
MOUSCRON-PERUWELZ CLUB BRUGGE x 3.75 nok
BEITAR JERUSALEM MACCABI NETANYA 2 4.2 nok
HAPOEL PETAH TIKVA HAPOEL TEL AVIV 2 2 ok
VERONA LAZIO x 3.5 ok
Hitrate: 2win /4 Total = 50%
Roi: 37.5%
Raport 24->30 Oct:
hitrare: 68 WIN/181 TOTAL
ROI: 5.2 %
Meciurile pentru astazi 31 Oct, 14 jocuri
FORTUNA DUSSELDORF FC INGOLSTADT 04 x 3.1
UNION BERLIN SPVGG GREUTHER FURTH x 3.3
STEAUA BUCURESTI DINAMO BUCURESTI x 3.8
FC MIDTJYLLAND FC NORDSJAELLAND x 3.5
GALATASARAY KASIMPASA x 3.5
FC SCHALKE 04 FC AUGSBURG x 3.6
ESTAC TROYES ORLEANS x 3.2
ST JOHNSTONE MOTHERWELL 2 3.8
GORNIK LECZNA LECHIA GDANSK 2 2.7
ZULTE-WAREGEM GENK 2 2.7
KORONA KIELCE WISLA KRAKOW 2 2
CRETEIL SOCHAUX x 3.1
GFC AJACCIO CHATEAUROUX x 3.3
CLERMONT FOOT NIMES x 3.1
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